Forex Market Analysis, Bitcoin Gold 04/07/2025

Technical Market Analysis: Gold, Bitcoin & Featured Forex Pairs – Early July Trading Opportunities (July 4, 2025)

The financial markets are constantly dynamic, offering numerous opportunities for those who can interpret chart language. Today, we'll quickly review the latest developments on the H1 and H4 charts for Gold (XAUUSD), Bitcoin (BTCUSD), AUDNZD, and USDCAD. Our technical analysis aims to identify strong signals and potential trading setups.

Important Note: This analysis is based on chart data as of the current time (July 4, 2025) and is for reference purposes only. Markets are inherently volatile and carry risks. Always implement strict risk management (Stop Loss, Take Profit) before any trading decision.

1. Gold (XAUUSD): Intense Tug-of-War at Crucial Levels

Gold is showing an interesting battle between buyers and sellers across multiple timeframes, creating a somewhat complex picture.


Overview (H4): XAUUSD is in a broad consolidation phase after correcting from its 3500 peak. The price is fluctuating around 3310.24, a significant pivot point. A decisive breakout from this range is needed to confirm the next major trend.

Detail (H1 & M15): The H1 chart shows a notable recovery from lows around $3250-$3260, but recent M15 action indicates a slight pullback from a minor peak around $3360. The 3345.68 level on M15 is being tested and could act as resistance.

Trading Opportunities:

Sell : If Gold breaks below 3340-3345 (on M15) and bearish pressure on H4 is confirmed.

Buy Scenario: If Gold finds strong support and breaks above 3360-3370 (on M15) with bullish signals on H4.

Conclusion: Gold is at a decisive point. Close observation of price action at key support/resistance zones is crucial.

2. Bitcoin (BTCUSD): Entering a Correction Phase?

Bitcoin, after strong rallies, is showing signs of entering a correction phase.

Analysis (H1): BTCUSD peaked near $109,000 and is now in a clear correction, pushing the price below $106,000. The current price trades around $105,639, a key contention zone.

Opportunities:

Sell: If Bitcoin remains below $106,000 and breaks minor supports (around $105,000), the decline could continue.

Buy: For an uptrend resumption, BTC needs to decisively break and hold above resistances at $107,000-$108,000.

Conclusion: BTCUSD is in a sensitive phase. Traders should exercise caution.

3. Đô la Úc / Đô la New Zealand (AUDNZD): Tín Hiệu Mua Đầy Hứa Hẹn

Cặp AUDNZD trên khung H1 đang thu hút sự chú ý với một thiết lập mua tiềm năng theo xu hướng.

Phân tích (H1): AUDNZD đã phục hồi mạnh mẽ, phá vỡ lên trên một vùng kháng cự cục bộ. Vị thế mua đã được kích hoạt quanh 1.08237.

Chi tiết lệnh (theo hình):

SL: ~1.08043.

TP: ~1.08984.

R:R: Rất hấp dẫn ở mức 2.73:1.

Cơ hội: Nếu giá duy trì trên 1.08043, mục tiêu 1.08984 là hoàn toàn khả thi.

Lời khuyên: Đây là giao dịch mua theo xu hướng với R:R tốt.

4. US Dollar / Canadian Dollar (USDCAD): Bearish Pressure Dominating

The USDCAD pair on the H1 timeframe is showing signs of a potential downtrend.

Analysis (H1): USDCAD has broken below significant support levels, indicating increasing selling pressure. A sell position was triggered around 1.36003.

Trade Details (as per image):

SL: ~1.36894.

TP: ~1.33976.

R:R: Attractive at 2.27:1.

Opportunity: If USDCAD remains below 1.36003, the 1.33976 target could be reached.

Recommendation: This is a potential trend-following sell setup. Manage trades tightly.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Trading in financial markets carries substantial risk, and you could lose all your invested capital. Always consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions. The author and platform are not responsible for any losses incurred from using the information in this article.
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